We measure first-order effects, guess at the second order, and the third order is like the third bottle of wine — all bets are off.
Error is boundless.
Nor hope nor doubt,
Though both be groundless,
Will average out.
Many who understand that suspicion is a strategy, not a model, persist in treating trust as a model, not a strategy.
In philosophy correspondence and coherence vary inversely.
The truth shall set you on anyone who will listen.
You see your own viewpoint about as well as you hear your own accent.
It must be easier to fix the world than it is to fix a dishwasher; there are so many more people who know how.
The worst example is the unique success.
What is called stupidity is often only intelligence gone horribly wrong.
Occam’s Razor doesn’t mean what’s simplest must be true;
It means that we are stupid and it’s the best that we can do.
To make a new mistake is no small thing.